Escalating anxieties are emerging that South Sudan might descend back into widespread internal fighting following a contentious treason trial against former Vice-President Riek Machar.
Mounting Hostilities
Machar's political faction has demanded “a change in leadership” following accusations were leveled with grave allegations such as murder.
His supporters has labeled the legal action as a “targeted persecution” aimed at sabotage a 2018 peace agreement that brought closure to a five-year internal conflict.
Concurrently, additional soldiers from an adjacent country have entered the capital, Juba to support the incumbent government grip.
Contextual Roots
This country broke free from Sudan post decades of struggle led by the SPLM.
Just two years later, conflict broke out after the head of state fired Machar from his post, accusing him of planning an overthrow.
The conflict resulted in approximately numerous casualties and forced out a large portion of the population.
Present Situation
Unrest flared earlier this year after skirmishes broke out involving armed factions and state forces.
Following this, the opposition leader and allies were placed in confinement accused of fomenting unrest.
His party subsequently condemned the regime as a “dictatorship” and urged “political transition”.
Agreement Progress
Critical elements of the political settlement are still pending, such as the unification of opposition and state troops.
A proposed court to try those responsible for atrocities has not been established.
Polls planned for 2022 were delayed, and governing documents has not been drafted.
Corruption Claims
An international investigation accuses political leaders of siphoning off enormous amounts in oil revenues.
Funds meant for essential sectors reportedly used for opaque deals.
State authorities has denied these assertions, citing financial difficulties to external factors.
Potential Developments
Analysts note that the climate might escalate toward another brutal fight, particularly considering the arrival of Ugandan soldiers.
Neighboring conflicts creates further complexity to a fragile environment.
No date is confirmed for Machar’s trial, but actions point to both sides are bracing for a prolonged legal and political battle.
